Coronavirus May Be Seasonal After All
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THURSDAY, June 11, 2020 (HealthDay News) — This is a glimmer of hope about the new coronavirus: New research finds it appears to adhere to a seasonal pattern that is very similar to the flu.
Scientists found that all cities/regions with massive COVID-19 outbreaks have very similar winter season climates, with an normal temperature of 41 to 52 levels Fahrenheit, normal humidity stages of 47% to 79%, and are found in just a latitude band of thirty to fifty N.
This consists of Wuhan, China South Korea Japan Iran Northern Italy Seattle and northern California.
The findings also propose that U.S. mid-Atlantic states may possibly be at threat, as effectively as New England, in accordance to scientists at the Institute of Human Virology (IHV) at the University of Maryland College of Drugs (UMSOM) and the International Virus Network (GVN).
“Based on what we have documented so much, it appears that the virus has a more durable time spreading concerning persons in hotter, tropical climates,” claimed research chief Dr. Mohammad Sajadi, an associate professor of medicine at UMSOM, medical doctor-scientist at IHV, and a member of GVN.
The scientists employed climate data from the previous couple months, as effectively as typical climate designs from last 12 months, to forecast neighborhood unfold of COVID-19 in just the subsequent couple weeks.
The subsequent stage is to identify if climate and local weather forecasts could make the predictions extra responsible.
Research co-creator Dr. Anthony Amoroso claimed, “I think what is critical is that this is a testable speculation.” Amoroso is an associate professor of medicine at UMSOM and main of scientific treatment applications for IHV.
“If it retains accurate, it could be extremely practical for overall health method preparing, surveillance and containment initiatives,” he extra in an institute information launch.
The research was released on the web June 11 in JAMA Network Open.
In accordance to Dr. Robert Gallo, an IHV co-founder and director, co-founder and chairman of the Global Scientific Leadership Board of GVN, and a professor at UMSOM, “By means of this comprehensive research, it has been established that climate modeling could perhaps demonstrate the unfold of COVID-19, earning it attainable to forecast the regions that are most likely to be at greater threat of considerable neighborhood unfold in the in close proximity to upcoming.”
— Robert Preidt
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Resource: Institute of Human Virology, information launch, June 11, 2020